Democrats are discussing the possibility of replacing President Joe Biden for the 2024 election. This is due to concerns about his ability to campaign effectively, especially after his recent debate performance where he appeared hoarse and spoke in a halting manner. While Biden has already secured a presumptive nomination, some Democrats are worried about his ability to serve four more years. This has led to discussions within the party about whether Biden should continue as the nominee.
Looking at historical precedents, there is a case where President Lyndon Johnson decided not to seek re-nomination for a second full term in 1968 due to mounting Vietnam War protests. However, Johnson made his announcement at the end of March, which was very late in the nomination calendar. In contrast, Biden has already secured enough delegates for the nomination. This makes it difficult for him to be removed from the ticket, as most of the delegates are loyal to him.
If Democrats want to replace Biden as the nominee, a challenger would have to announce their candidacy before the formal vote, publicly challenging the incumbent. This would be a high-stakes attempt to perform a party coup. However, without extraordinary circumstances and a solid backup plan, it is unlikely that Biden would be removed from the ticket.
The Democratic National Committee had already planned to move up Biden’s nomination ahead of the convention to meet a ballot deadline in Ohio. Although the deadline has been extended, the party intends to proceed with the early roll call anyway, making the convention a mere formality. Therefore, a decision on whether to replace Biden would need to be made soon.
If Biden were to step down after the convention, the decision to replace him would be made by the members of the DNC. However, another hurdle would arise in the form of printed ballots with Biden’s name already on them. Each state has different laws regarding how a vote for a withdrawn candidate would be handled.
While there are discussions among Democrats about replacing President Biden for the 2024 election, there are significant hurdles to overcome. Biden has already secured enough delegates for the nomination, making it difficult for him to be removed from the ticket. The timing of any decision is crucial, as the Democratic National Committee has already planned to move up the nomination process. Additionally, replacing Biden after the convention would require dealing with printed ballots that already have his name on them.
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